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Atlantic's First Depression Forms Near Fla. Coast

Atlantic's First Depression Forms Near Fla. Coast
The 2014 Atlantic's first tropical system formed tonight while drifting just off Florida's east coast. It will strengthen into the Atlantic's first named tropical storm today, before potentially causing headaches for the outer banks of North Carolina as it grazes by late this week. Meanwhile, the Eastern Pacific remains busy with two named storms, even one that could threaten Mexico.Newly-formed Tropical Depression #1 has formed just east of Florida's Atlantic Coast tonight. As of 11 p.m. EDT, Tropical Depression #1 was located near 27.6 N, 79.1 W, or 105 miles east-southeast of Cape Canaveral, Fla., or 210 miles north-northwest of the northwestern Bahamas. Packing top sustained winds of 35 mph, the depression is drifting to the southwest at 2 mph. Its minimum central pressure is 1009 mb, or 29.80 inches of mercury.Tropical Depression #1 has shed the final piece to the puzzle, dry air impeding further development in its northern fringes in recent days. Further intensification is likely today, with the system tracking over the warm open waters of the western Atlantic Ocean and into a more favorable upper-level environment. If it were to continue to strengthening it would be give the name "Arthur." The depressions slow drift westward and then paralleling the Florida Atlantic Coast through mid-week will squeeze out 1-to-3 inches of rain across east-central and northeastern parts of Florida. Even a few spots could be buffeted by as much as 5 inches of rain. A Tropical Storm Watch is now in effect from Fort Pierce, Fla., to Flagler Beach, Fla.Steered by large high pressure to its east and the approach of a cold front into the Eastern Seaboard, the depression will begin to curve north and northeastward along the Georgia and eastern Carolinas coast by late this week. It is here where it will track into the very warm Gulf Stream and a suddenly favorable upper-level environment for slow intensification.The latest longer-range models are in good agreement on the storm's final destination. The most "likely" landing spot, if any at all, will be along North Carolina's outer banks on Thursday or early on the Fourth of July. From there, it will gain speed, tracking more than 180 miles southeast of Cape Cod, Mass., by the upcoming weekend. Even if the storm remains offshore, it would likely bring some breezy conditions and rough surf to beach locations along the coast. However, eastern North Carolina will be peppered by gusty squalls of rain and wind as well as be buffeted by high surf and dangerous waves on Thursday and the Fourth of July.WeatherBug meteorologists will continue to watch the depression and will provide the latest updates as it nears the coast.Meanwhile, Tropical Storm Elida continues to drift away from the Mexico Coast tonight. Elida is located near 17.4N and 104.4W, or about 110 miles south of Manzanillo, Mexico. A Tropical Storm Warning remains in effect for Lazaro Cardenas to Cabo Corrientes in Mexico. The storm will likely bring more than 8 inches of rain to Mexico`s Pacific Coast through mid-week. Fortunately, it will stay offshore but only slowly bobble a few hundred miles off the coast through the end of the week. This will prolong the heavy rain and flash flooding threat for southwestern Jalisco.Not to be outdone, Tropical Storm Douglas is located near 18.4N and 114.9W, or about 450 miles southwest of the southern tip of Baja California. The storm will stay hundreds of miles offshore and maintain its intensity through mid-week before likely weakening to a tropical depression as it moves across cooler Pacific water. It will only pose a threat to shipping interests.Be sure to check with WeatherBug for the latest on the developing threat in the western Atlantic and stay with WeatherBug during this 2014 hurricane season. Get the latest updates anywhere onTwitter.What do you think of this story?
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UPDATED 1:30 AM EDT, July 1, 2014
UPDATED By WeatherBug Meteorologist, Fred Allen
 

Severe Outbreak Roiling Midwest, Plains

Severe Outbreak Roiling Midwest, Plains
Dangerous severe weather is once again thrashing the Plains and Mid-Mississippi Valley, with storms rumbling from the Great Lakes to the Texas Panhandle

UPDATED 8:45 PM CDT, June 30, 2014
UPDATED By WeatherBug Meteorologist, Andrew Rosenthal
 
Tuesday's Weather Outlook

Tuesday's Weather Outlook
The active weather that has plagued the central U

3 PM EDT, June 30,2014
By WeatherBug Meteorologist, Mike Marston
 
Today's Weather Outlook

Today's Weather Outlook
The start of the workweek will bring flooding downpours and fresh thunderstorms once again in the U

UPDATED 12:15 AM EDT, June 30, 2014
UPDATED By WeatherBug Meteorologist, Fred Allen
 
Dangerous Storms Raking The Upper Midwest

Dangerous Storms Raking The Upper Midwest
The Upper Midwest and Missouri Valley will be front-and-center for dangerous weather as we head through early Monday morning

UPDATED 9 PM CDT, June 29, 2014
UPDATED By WeatherBug Meteorologist, Mike Marston
 

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